Simulation Stats

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These statistics show how well EquiSim's simulation Winner does compared with the actual race winner given a flat bet on each race in the sample set. This information was taken from EquiSim itself -- the Simulation Performance Analysis Tool (SPAT) lets you find out how well the simulations are performing in a number of different situations.

Keep in mind -- I do not promote the idea of any software product as a Genii. EquiSim is a tool designed to be integrated into your hanicapping game, both to help you become more profitable and to add enjoyment to your game. Nonetheless, sometimes the performance of the simulation winner amazes even myself....

Standard Disclaimer: I'm not responsible for any wagers you make. You do so at your own risk, and at your own reward.

This Winter I played Sam Houston and the Fairgrounds. Here are the statistics for both tracks (although the Fairgrounds statistics go back to the 2000/2001 meet).

Sam Houston - Dec. 21st, 2001 - March 30th, 2002 ( nearly every race, 4 or 5 are missing from the statistics)

Simulations Bias Settings: NONE

Odds >= 0, Number of Races: 537            

Wager Wins Win % ROI $ Max Won
Win 147 27.37 1.75 27.2
Place 238 44.3 -5.75 12.8
Show 307 57.16 -9.3 6.8
Exacta Box 55 10.24 -24.5 108.8
Trifecta Box 24 4.47 -45.5 560.8

Odds >= 1, Number of Races:  503    

Wager Wins Win % ROI Max Won
Win 127 25.25 2.16 27.2
Place 216 42.94 -5.1 12.8
Show 279 55.47 -9.5 6.8
Exacta Box 49 9.74 -24.28 108.8
Trifecta Box 18 3.57 -50.18 560.8

Odds >= 2, Number of Races: 373

Wager Wins Win % ROI Max Won
Win 83 22.25 10.11 27.2
Place 141 37.8 -4.77 12.8
Show 190 50.94 -10 6.8
Exacta Box 32 8.58 -26.26 108.8
Trifecta Box 10 2.68 -54.33 560.8

Odds >= 3, Number of Races: 270            

Wager Wins Win % ROI Max Won
Win 52 19.26 13.26 27.2
Place 90 33.33 -5.85 12.8
Show 122 45.19 -14.11 6.8
Exacta Box 23 8.52 -14.11(^strange, but true) 108.8
Trifecta Box 10 3.7 -36.9 560.8

 

The Fairgrounds -- 11/23/2000 through 3/25/2002. Not all races, but most of them. All for 2001/2002 meet.

The Highlight -- Total Races in database: 1555. Bet only those "long shot contenders" that win the simulation -- say odds between 5 and 10 -- 262 plays, 46 wins, 17.55 win %, 32.86% ROI.

Simulation Biases: None

Odds >= 0, Number of Races: 1555

Wager Wins Win % ROI $ Max Won
Win 418 26.9 -2.4 39
Place 695 44.7 -7.7 19.2
Show 896 57.6 -11.8 13
Exacta Box 163 10.48 +7.41 1217.4
Trifecta Box 113 7.3 +4.2 5628.8

Odds >= 1, Number of Races: 1396

Wager Wins Win % ROI $ Max Won
Win 331 23.7 -1.6 39
Place 577 41.33 -7.8 19.2
Show 765 54.8 -12 13
Exacta Box 136 9.74 -10.23 192.4
Trifecta Box 96 6.9 -23.64 1577

Odds >= 2 , Number of Races: 1058

Wager Wins Win % ROI $ Max Won
Win 208 19.7 1.82 39
Place 384 36.29 -6.66 19.2
Show 526 49.7 -11.9 13
Exacta Box 92 8.7 -2.8 192.4
Trifecta Box 68 6.4 -15.5 1577

 

Odds >= 3, Number of Races: 728

Wager Wins Win % ROI $ Max Won
Win 112 15.4 3.4 39
Place 233 32 -3 19.2
Show 318 43.7 -13 13
Exacta Box 55 7.56 0.6 192.4
Trifecta Box 38 5.22 -4.9 1577

 

Odds >= 4 , Number of Races: 530

Wager Wins Win % ROI $ Max Won
Win 70 13.2 7.6 39
Place 144 27.2 -4.5 19.2
Show 202 38.1 -14.8 13
Exacta Box 35 6.6 3.9 192.4
Trifecta Box 22 4.15 -5.8 1577

 

 

 

 

Odds >= , Number of Races: 

Wager Wins Win % ROI $ Max Won
Win        
Place        
Show        
Exacta Box        
Trifecta Box        

 

 

 

 

 

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