These statistics show how well EquiSim's simulation Winner does compared with the actual race winner given a flat bet on each race in the sample set. This information was taken from EquiSim itself -- the Simulation Performance Analysis Tool (SPAT) lets you find out how well the simulations are performing in a number of different situations.
Keep in mind -- I do not promote the idea of any software product as a Genii. EquiSim is a tool designed to be integrated into your hanicapping game, both to help you become more profitable and to add enjoyment to your game. Nonetheless, sometimes the performance of the simulation winner amazes even myself....
Standard Disclaimer: I'm not responsible for any wagers you make. You do so at your own risk, and at your own reward.
This Winter I played Sam Houston and the Fairgrounds. Here are the statistics for both tracks (although the Fairgrounds statistics go back to the 2000/2001 meet).
Sam Houston - Dec. 21st, 2001 - March 30th, 2002 ( nearly every race, 4 or 5 are missing from the statistics)
Simulations Bias Settings: NONE
Odds >= 0, Number of Races: 537
Odds >= 1, Number of Races: 503
Odds >= 2, Number of Races: 373
Odds >= 3, Number of Races: 270
The Fairgrounds -- 11/23/2000 through 3/25/2002. Not all races, but most of them. All for 2001/2002 meet.
The Highlight -- Total Races in database: 1555. Bet only those "long shot contenders" that win the simulation -- say odds between 5 and 10 -- 262 plays, 46 wins, 17.55 win %, 32.86% ROI.
Simulation Biases: None
Odds >= 0, Number of Races: 1555
Odds >= 1, Number of Races: 1396
Odds >= 2 , Number of Races: 1058
Odds >= 3, Number of Races: 728
Odds >= 4 , Number of Races: 530
Odds >= , Number of Races:
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